• Alun Hill
  • Posts
  • How to Spot a Profitable Business Idea Before You Start

How to Spot a Profitable Business Idea Before You Start

Most people think coming up with a business idea is the hard part.

It’s not.

The hard part is coming up with an idea that will actually make money.

You don’t want to spend months (or years) working on something, only to find out there’s no demand.

The good news?

You don’t have to guess.

There are clear ways to test if a business idea has real profit potential before you invest too much time or money.

In this issue, we’ll break down exactly how to spot a winning idea—before you even launch.

1. Solve a Problem That People Will Pay to Fix

A business isn’t just about selling a product—it’s about solving a problem.

The more painful and urgent the problem, the more likely people are to pay for a solution.

Ask yourself:

  • Does my idea solve a real problem?

  • Are people actively looking for a solution?

  • Are they already spending money on this?

For example, people need to eat, so food businesses are always in demand.

But if you’re selling an unnecessary luxury item, you need to prove that enough people actually want it.

Quick Test:

  • Search Google and see if people are asking about the problem.

  • Look on Amazon or eBay—are there existing products solving this problem?

  • Check online forums, Facebook groups, or Reddit—are people frustrated and looking for help?

If the answer is yes, you’re on the right track.

If no one is talking about it, your idea might not have real demand.

2. Check If People Are Already Buying It

One of the biggest mistakes new entrepreneurs make is trying to create something completely new.

Innovation sounds exciting, but it’s also risky.

If no one else is selling a similar product or service, that’s not always a good sign.

Instead, look for proof that people are already spending money in your industry.

How to check:

  • Amazon & eBay: 

    Are similar products selling well? Check reviews and sales rankings.

  • Google Ads: 

    If companies are paying for ads, there’s likely money to be made.

  • Competitor Websites: 

    Are businesses in your space growing, hiring, or expanding?

    That’s a sign of demand.

You don’t need to be first—you just need to do it better, cheaper, or more conveniently.

3. Find a Market That’s Hungry (Not Just Interested)

There’s a huge difference between people saying “that’s a cool idea” and people actually paying for something.

Many businesses fail because they target “interested” people instead of desperate buyers.

The best businesses serve hungry markets—people who need a solution now and are willing to pay for it.

Hungry markets include:

  • Parents looking for solutions for their kids.

  • Business owners trying to save time or make more money.

  • People in urgent pain (health, financial, emotional).

If your idea serves a real and urgent need, you’ll have customers ready to buy from day one.

4. Check If the Market Is Growing

A business that solves a problem today won’t survive if that problem disappears tomorrow.

Look for industries that are growing, not shrinking.

A few ways to check:

  • Google Trends:

    Shows whether searches for a topic are increasing or decreasing.

  • Industry Reports: 

    Websites like IBISWorld and Statista track market trends.

  • News & Social Media: 

    Are people talking more about this industry over time?

For example, the online education industry is growing fast—more people want to learn new skills online.

Meanwhile, traditional print newspapers are shrinking.

You want to ride the wave of growth, not fight against decline.

5. Validate Your Idea With a Simple Test

Before you fully commit, test your idea cheaply.

Here’s how:

  1. Offer a “Coming Soon” page – Build a simple landing page and see if people sign up for early access.

  2. Run a small ad test – Spend $20-$50 on Facebook or Google ads to see if people click.

  3. Pre-sell the product – Ask people to buy before you launch. If no one pays upfront, that’s a warning sign.

If people are willing to pay before it even exists, you know you have something worth pursuing.

The Bottom Line: Don’t Guess, Test

Too many people waste years building businesses that were doomed from the start—just because they didn’t test demand first.

The best business ideas solve real, urgent problems for people who are already spending money in that space.

They’re in growing industries, and they pass a simple pre-launch test.

So before you invest time, money, or energy—ask yourself:
“Is this a business people actually want?”

The answer will decide whether you’re building something profitable—or just chasing an idea that sounds good but won’t pay the bills.

What do you think about this article?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.